The Effect of Dynamic and Static Choice Sets on Political Decision Making: An Analysis Using the Decision Board Platform

American Political Science Review 91(3):553-566, 1997

Posted: 10 Mar 2020

See all articles by Alex Mintz

Alex Mintz

Interdisciplinary Center (IDC) Herzliya

Nehemia Geva

affiliation not provided to SSRN

Steven B Redd

affiliation not provided to SSRN

Amy Carnes

affiliation not provided to SSRN

Date Written: September 1, 1997

Abstract

Previous studies of political decision making have used only ''static'' choice sets, where alternatives are ''fixed'' and are a priori known to the decision maker. We assess the affect of a dynamic choice set (new alternatives appear during the decision process) on strategy selection and choice in international politics. We suggest that decision makers use a mixture of decision strategies when making decisions in a true-stage process consisting of an initial screening of available alternatives, and a selection of the best one from the subset of remaining alternatives. To test the effects of dynamic and static choice sets on the decision process we introduce a computer-based ''process tracer'' in a study of top-ranking officers in the U.S. Air Force. The results show that (1) national security decision makers use a mixture of strategies in arriving at a decision, and (2) strategy selection and choice are significantly influenced by the structure of the choice set (static versus dynamic).

Keywords: Decision making, Political decision making, Strategy

Suggested Citation

Mintz, Alex and Geva, Nehemia and Redd, Steven B and Carnes, Amy, The Effect of Dynamic and Static Choice Sets on Political Decision Making: An Analysis Using the Decision Board Platform (September 1, 1997). American Political Science Review 91(3):553-566, 1997, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3511985

Alex Mintz (Contact Author)

Interdisciplinary Center (IDC) Herzliya ( email )

P.O. Box 167
Herzliya, 4610101
Israel

Nehemia Geva

affiliation not provided to SSRN

Steven B Redd

affiliation not provided to SSRN

Amy Carnes

affiliation not provided to SSRN

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