What Will Be the Future Effect of Wuhan Corona-Virus?

4 Pages Posted: 30 Apr 2020

See all articles by Thakur Dhakal

Thakur Dhakal

Kangwon National University, Department of Industrial Engineering

Date Written: February 8, 2020

Abstract

I tried to analyze the status of coronavirus diffusion using a system dynamics approach. I developed a simple system dynamics Wuhan Coronavirus diffusion model and simulated with the data observed on the 19th day of identification of the virus in China Wuhan. From the simulation, it is found that the coronavirus will be controlled after 67 days from its first identification date 20 Jan 2020.

Keywords: Coronavirus, Common cold, System Dynamics model, Diffusion

Suggested Citation

Dhakal, Thakur, What Will Be the Future Effect of Wuhan Corona-Virus? (February 8, 2020). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3534820 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3534820

Thakur Dhakal (Contact Author)

Kangwon National University, Department of Industrial Engineering ( email )

Korea, Republic of (South Korea)
01074079711 (Phone)

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