Revisiting the Monetary Presentation of the Euro Area Balance of Payments

45 Pages Posted: 11 Feb 2020

See all articles by Carmen Picón Aguilar

Carmen Picón Aguilar

European Central Bank (ECB)

Rodrigo Oliveira Soares

affiliation not provided to SSRN

Ramón Adalid

European Central Bank (ECB)

Date Written: February, 2020

Abstract

We explain how the external counterpart of the euro area M3 can be analysed by using the euro area balance of payments (b.o.p.). This is possible because the net external assets of the monetary financial institutions (MFIs) are present in two statistical frameworks that follow similar conventions: the balance sheet items (BSI) of MFIs and the balance of payments statistics. The first step to including external flows in the monetary analysis is to understand the nature of the flows between resident money holders and the rest of the world. This is possible thanks to the monetary presentation of the b.o.p, which provides information on the nature of external transactions and therefore guidance on the persistence of the monetary signal stemming from external flows.Over the past five years, the increase in the euro area’s external competitiveness has given rise to a sustained current account surplus that has consistently supported monetary inflows into the euro area. At the same time, portfolio transactions, which closely reflect financial and monetary policy conditions, have fluctuated significantly, increasing monetary inflows in the period from mid-2012 to mid-2014 and turning them into net outflows during the asset purchase programme (APP) period.

Keywords: balance of payments, balance sheet items, cross-border flows, monetary aggregates, monetary financial institutions, net external assets

JEL Classification: E51, E52, F45, F41, F43, F32, F34

Suggested Citation

Picón Aguilar, Carmen and Soares, Rodrigo Oliveira and Adalid, Ramón, Revisiting the Monetary Presentation of the Euro Area Balance of Payments (February, 2020). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3536330 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3536330

Carmen Picón Aguilar (Contact Author)

European Central Bank (ECB) ( email )

Sonnemannstrasse 22
Frankfurt am Main, 60314
Germany

Rodrigo Oliveira Soares

affiliation not provided to SSRN

Ramón Adalid

European Central Bank (ECB) ( email )

Sonnemannstrasse 22
Frankfurt am Main, 60314
Germany

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