Economic Impact of COVID-19 in Nepal: A Question of Bad or Worst

9 Pages Posted: 21 Apr 2020

See all articles by Jyoti Koirala

Jyoti Koirala

Tribhuvan University - Kathford International College of Engineering and Management

Suman Acharya

Independent; Nepal Rastra Bank

Date Written: April 20, 2020

Abstract

Considering the fact and avoid its huge impact on economy, Nepal must take dramatic action to make sure economy is moving through this disaster. There will be the impact of 8 to 10 percent of GDP in this FY 2020 if this lockdown continue for 2 to 3 months. Government must make extra fund available for banks to lend to companies it is because business is already taking hit and nobody knows how bad it will hit but this is confirm that it depends on long this spread lasts. It is due to cost of isolation which will be higher and more dependable for each country. Protecting measures of governmental and non-governmental are severely affecting the economic activities. There is high impact on GDP but this impact is directly related to number of days the lockdown will be there. Extending the days for lockdown means extending the adverse impact on economy.

Although global economy is projected contract by -3 percent in 2020, in reality, just projection and indices will not solve the issue, GDP forecast for bad or worst itself is dubious prediction of international financial institutions, businessmen, economist, media. What is confirm is that the impact will be much higher in Asian country and more in Nepal due to landlocked, open boarder and remittance based economy. In the recovery process, primary sector is necessary to mobilize well so that secondary and tertiary sector of the economy can get the opportunity of expansion and resource mobilization.

Keywords: Economic Growth, Nepal, Disaster, COVID-19, Lock down

Suggested Citation

Koirala, Jyoti and Acharya, Suman and Acharya, Suman, Economic Impact of COVID-19 in Nepal: A Question of Bad or Worst (April 20, 2020). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3580840 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3580840

Jyoti Koirala (Contact Author)

Tribhuvan University - Kathford International College of Engineering and Management ( email )

Balkumari, Kathmandu
Nepal

HOME PAGE: http://www.kathford.edu.np

Suman Acharya

Independent ( email )

Nepal Rastra Bank ( email )

Nepal

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