The Trend of COVID-19 at Bengaluru: Prediction to Continue the Better Epidemic Management

Kannamani Ramasamy, S. Jayakumar. The Trend of COVID-19 at Bengaluru: Prediction to Continue the Better Epidemic Management International Journal of Current Research and Review. Vol 12 Issue 13, July 2020, 56-60

5 Pages Posted: 13 Jul 2020

See all articles by Dr. Kannamani Ramasamy

Dr. Kannamani Ramasamy

Jain (Deemed to be) University - School of Humanities and Social Sciences

Jayakumar S.

Independent

Date Written: July 7, 2020

Abstract

Aim: The primary objective of this study is to understand the current situation of COVID-19 at Bangalore city and predict the future state, which will help for better management.

Methods: Data from BBMP and Karnataka's government from 1 April to 12 June 2020 used to calculate the prediction. We have used FORECAST.ETS function in Microsoft EXCEL to predict the future number of COVID-19 cases for Bangalore city.

Results: Based on the prediction analysis, the number of cases at Bangalore may reach 3240 by the end of Aug 2020. The percentage of positive cases at Bangalore from the total samples tested across Karnataka may reach up to 0.6 %. Death count due to COID-19 may touch at 80. Overall, the prediction appears that the status of the COVID-19 may continue to be good with some additions.

Conclusion: Bangalore is doing well with COVID-19 management. However, the situation may change at the point of time due to various contributors. Proactive approaches, as mentioned in the recommendations section, is much critical to managing the pandemic situation.

Note: Funding: No funding.

Conflict of Interest: The authors declare that there is no conflict of interest.

Keywords: Bangalore, COVID-19, Coronavirus, BBMP, Trend, Prediction

Suggested Citation

Ramasamy, Dr. Kannamani and S., Jayakumar, The Trend of COVID-19 at Bengaluru: Prediction to Continue the Better Epidemic Management (July 7, 2020). Kannamani Ramasamy, S. Jayakumar. The Trend of COVID-19 at Bengaluru: Prediction to Continue the Better Epidemic Management International Journal of Current Research and Review. Vol 12 Issue 13, July 2020, 56-60, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3644982

Dr. Kannamani Ramasamy (Contact Author)

Jain (Deemed to be) University - School of Humanities and Social Sciences ( email )

Atria Towers
No.1/1-1, Palace Road
Bangalore, Karnataka 560001
India

Jayakumar S.

Independent

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