Voting Rights and the Delayed Stock Price Response to Option Information
48 Pages Posted: 26 Feb 2021
Date Written: December 21, 2020
Abstract
Recent studies find that transactions volume and volatility spread of exchange-traded single-stock options predict the underlying stock’s future returns. Most of the firms with exchange-traded options have large market capitalization and are actively traded. It is a puzzle why it takes days and sometimes weeks for stock price to reflect the information contained in option trades. We conjecture that voting rights consideration may contribute to the delayed stock price response to option information. More specifically, we hypothesize that the delay is much longer during the period when shareholder voting is required to resolve contentious corporate matters. We analyze a sample of 1,842 special shareholder meetings between 2003 and 2015 and find that the predictability of option volume and volatility spread is much stronger in the weeks around special shareholder meetings (i.e., the event window). The Fama-MacBeth regression analysis shows that while the predictability of volatility spread is significant both within and outside the event window, the predictability of option volume is significant only within the event window. We contribute to the literature by offering a new explanation of the delayed stock price response to option information and documenting a significant asset pricing effect of voting rights.
Keywords: Implied volatility spread, Option to stock volume ratio, Special shareholder meeting, Value of voting right
JEL Classification: G12, G13, G17
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation