Program Evaluation and Random Program Starts

Fredriksson, Peter; Johansson, Per

doi:10.2139/ssrn.380348

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Program Evaluation and Random Program Starts

33 Pages Posted: 20 Feb 2003

See all articles by Peter Fredriksson

Peter Fredriksson

Uppsala University - Department of Economics; IZA Institute of Labor Economics; CESifo (Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute)

Per Johansson

IFAU - Institute for Labour Market Policy Evaluation; Uppsala University - Department of Economics; IZA Institute of Labor Economics

Date Written: January 2003

Abstract

This paper discusses the evaluation problem using observational data when the timing of treatment is an outcome of a stochastic process. We show that, without additional assumptions, it is not possible to estimate the average treatment effect and treatment on the treated. It is, however, possible to estimate the effect of treatment on the treated up to a certain time point. We propose an estimator to estimate this effect and show that it is possible to test for an average treatment effect.

Keywords: Treatment Effects, Dynamic Treatment Assignment, Program Evaluation, Method of Matching

JEL Classification: C14, C41

Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation

Fredriksson, Peter and Johansson, Per, Program Evaluation and Random Program Starts (January 2003). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=380348 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.380348