Steering Loan Modifications Post-Pandemic

Abstract

As part of federal and state relief programs created during the COVID-19 pandemic, many American households received pauses on their largest debts, particularly on mortgages and student loans. Others may have come to agreements with their lenders, likewise pausing or altering payment on other debts, such as auto loans and credit cards. This relief allowed households to allocate their savings and income to necessary expenses, like groceries, utilities, and medicine. But forbearance does not equal forgiveness. At the end of the various relief periods and moratoria, people will have to resume paying all their debts, the amounts of which may have increased to account for any missed or reduced payments. Yet in the interim months, people have faced persistent unemployment and dwindling household wealth. Many likely will be unable to resume all debt payments, leading them into formal or informal bankruptcy. Incentivizing lenders to work with people to craft successful loan modifications will stave off a swell of bankruptcy filings and economic loss. The 2008 financial crisis showed how poorly prepared creditors were to offer successful debt workouts. Now is the time for policymakers to plan for the coming crash of needed loan modifications across consumer credit products. This Essay sketches a path for how that should be done.

Keywords: COVID-19, coronavirus, consumer debt, consumer credit, debt collection, forbearance, moratorium, modification, mortgages, mortgage servicing, loan servicing, auto loan, credit cards, student loans, bankruptcy, foreclosure, repossession, garnishment, CARES Act, American Rescue Plan Act, CFPB, UDAAP

JEL Classification: D10, K36