Are Islamic Equity Markets 'Safe Havens'? Exploring the Contagion Effects between Metal Future Markets and Malaysian Islamic Bonds Using DCC-FIGARCH During the Recent Global Financial Crisis of 2008

International Journal of Economics, Management and Accounting, 2021

30 Pages Posted: 2 Mar 2022

Date Written: December 28, 2021

Abstract

This paper examines the time-varying conditional correlations between seventeen metal future markets and Malaysian Islāmic bonds. We apply twelve six variate dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) FIGARCH models in order to capture potential contagion effects between the markets for the period 2007-2011. Empirical results reveal contagion during the under investigation period regarding the twelve six variate models, showing potential volatility transmission channels among the markets and implying that the sukūk bonds are not a safe haven during bearish times without portfolio diversification strategies. Findings have crucial implications for policymakers who provide regulations for the above derivative markets and for investors who invest long-term in Islāmic bonds.

Keywords: DCC-FIGARCH, Metal futures, Ṣukūk, Financial contagion,Islāmicfinance

JEL Classification: C58, C61, E44, G10, G20

Suggested Citation

Tsiaras, Konstantinos, Are Islamic Equity Markets 'Safe Havens'? Exploring the Contagion Effects between Metal Future Markets and Malaysian Islamic Bonds Using DCC-FIGARCH During the Recent Global Financial Crisis of 2008 (December 28, 2021). International Journal of Economics, Management and Accounting, 2021, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3997637

Konstantinos Tsiaras (Contact Author)

Department of Economics ( email )

45110 Ioannina
Greece

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