Bondholder Governance, Takeover Likelihood, and Division of Gains

34 Pages Posted: 13 May 2022 Last revised: 14 Feb 2023

See all articles by Evrim Akdoğu

Evrim Akdoğu

Sabanci University

Aysun Alp Paukowits

University of Maryland

Ugur Celikyurt

Koc University - College of Administrative Sciences and Economics

Date Written: February 14, 2023

Abstract

We investigate the effect of creditor rights on the probability of becoming a takeover target by constructing firm-level bond covenant indices. Our primary result is that the more restrictive covenants a firm has, the more likely it is to become the target of an acquisition. This finding is robust to the exclusion of merger-related event-risk covenants which have the opposite impact and appear to reduce takeover likelihood. Furthermore, this effect is not driven by financially distressed firms and rather contained in small, profitable, financially healthy firms with high growth opportunities and low cash holdings. We also find that a higher target covenant index leads to a significant decrease (increase) in target (acquirer) abnormal returns around acquisition announcements and tilts merger gains towards the acquirer, suggesting the presence of a ‘covenant discount’ for potential target firms. Overall, our results are consistent with covenants creating key frictions, and in turn, making firms viable targets for acquirers with possibly deep pockets.

Keywords: Mergers, Acquisitions, Bond Covenants, Corporate Governance, Creditor Rights

JEL Classification: G30, G34

Suggested Citation

Akdoğu, Evrim and Alp Paukowits, Aysun and Celikyurt, Ugur, Bondholder Governance, Takeover Likelihood, and Division of Gains (February 14, 2023). Journal of Corporate Finance, Forthcoming, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4108061 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4108061

Evrim Akdoğu

Sabanci University ( email )

Istanbul
Turkey

Aysun Alp Paukowits

University of Maryland ( email )

Robert H. Smith School of Business
Van Munching Hall
College Park, MD 20742
United States

Ugur Celikyurt (Contact Author)

Koc University - College of Administrative Sciences and Economics ( email )

Rumelifeneri Yolu
Sariyer 80910, Istanbul
Turkey

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