Exchange Rate Regimes and Economic Linkages

34 Pages Posted: 27 Sep 2004

Date Written: September 2004

Abstract

We investigate how the exchange rate regime influences economic linkages across countries. We divide the exchange rate regime into three classifications: currency union, peg and floating exchange rates. Unlike most studies solely focusing on the relationship between anchor and client countries, the exchange rate regime between any two countries is inferred based on their relationship to the common anchor currency. Then we empirically explore how the various exchange rate regimes impact on bilateral trade, output co-movement and financial integration. Financial integration is measured by the degree of risk sharing reflected in consumption co-movement relative to output comovement. We find that, while currency union has the greatest effect, the peg regime also significantly boosts trade. We also find that, while the peg regime contributes to both output and consumption co-movements, the currency union strengthens only consumption co-movement and possibly lowers output co-movement. These findings are interpreted that the currency union, the strictest form of pegged regimes, leads to higher industry specialization and better risk sharing opportunities than the less strict peg regime.

Keywords: Exchage Rate Regime, Economic Linkage, Trade, Output Co-movement, Cosumption Co-movement, Risk Sharing

JEL Classification: E32, F02, F15, F31, F33, F42

Suggested Citation

Lee, Jong-Wha and Shin, Kwanho, Exchange Rate Regimes and Economic Linkages (September 2004). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=596026 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.596026

Jong-Wha Lee

Korea University ( email )

Anam-dong, Sungbuk-Ku
Dept. of Economics
Seoul, 136-701
82-2-3290-2216 (Phone)
82-2-928-4948 (Fax)

Kwanho Shin (Contact Author)

Korea University ( email )

1 Anam-dong 5 ka
Sunbuk-Ku, Department of Economics
Seoul 136-701
Korea
82-2-3290-2220 (Phone)
82-2-3290-2719 (Fax)

HOME PAGE: econ.korea.ac.kr/~khshin