Standards and Practices for Forecasting
Posted: 11 Aug 2010
There are 2 versions of this paper
Date Written: August 11, 2010
Abstract
One hundred and thirty-nine principles are used to summarize knowledge about forecasting. They cover formulating a problem, obtaining information about it, selecting and applying methods, evaluating methods, and using forecasts. Each principle is described along with its purpose, the conditions under which it is relevant, and the strength and sources of evidence. A checklist of principles is provided to assist in auditing the forecasting process. An audit can help one to find ways to improve the forecasting process and to avoid legal liability for poor forecasting.
Keywords: forecasting practice, forecasting principles, forecasting process
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation