General Quadratic Term Structures for Bond, Futures, and Forward Prices

SSE/EFI Working Papers Series in Economics and Finance, No. 559

57 Pages Posted: 10 Jul 2006 Last revised: 7 Jul 2008

See all articles by Raquel M. Gaspar

Raquel M. Gaspar

ISEG and Cemapre/REM, Universidade de Lisboa

Date Written: March 2004

Abstract

For finite dimensional factor models, the paper studies general quadratic term structures. These term structures include as special cases the affine term structures and the Gaussian quadratic term structures, previously studied in the literature. We show, however, that there are other, non-Gaussian, quadratic term structures and derive sufficient conditions for the existence of these general quadratic term structures for bond, futures and forward prices.

As forward prices are martingales under the T-forward measure, their term structure equation depends on properties of bond prices' term structure. We exploit the connection with the bond prices term structure and show that even in quadratic short rate settings we can have affine term structures for forward prices.

Finally, we show how the study of futures prices is naturally embedded in a study of forward prices and show that the difference between the two prices have to do with the correlation between bond prices and the price process of the underlying to the forward contract and this difference may be deterministic in some (non-trivial) stochastic interest rate settings.

Keywords: term structure, bond price, futures price, forward price, affine term structure, quadratic term structure

JEL Classification: E43, G13

Suggested Citation

Gaspar, Raquel M., General Quadratic Term Structures for Bond, Futures, and Forward Prices (March 2004). SSE/EFI Working Papers Series in Economics and Finance, No. 559, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=913460 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.913460

Raquel M. Gaspar (Contact Author)

ISEG and Cemapre/REM, Universidade de Lisboa ( email )

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