The Effect of State Community Rating Regulations on Premiums and Coverage in the Individual Health Insurance Market

28 Pages Posted: 4 Sep 2006 Last revised: 2 Sep 2022

See all articles by Bradley Herring

Bradley Herring

Emory University - Department of Health Policy and Management

Mark V. Pauly

University of Pennsylvania - Health Care Systems Department; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

Date Written: August 2006

Abstract

Some states have implemented community rating regulations to limit the extent to which premiums in the individual health insurance market can vary with a person?s health status. Community rating and guaranteed issues laws were passed with hopes of increasing access to affordable insurance for people with high-risk health conditions, but there are concerns that these laws led to adverse selection. In some sense, the extent to which these regulations ultimately affected the individual market depends in large part on the degree of risk segmentation in unregulated states. In this paper, we examine the relationship between expected medical expenses, individual insurance premiums, and the likelihood of obtaining individual insurance using data from both the National Health Interview Survey and the Community Tracking Study Household Survey. We test for differences in these relationships between states with both community rating and guaranteed issue and states with no such regulations. While we find that people living in unregulated states with higher expected expense due to chronic health conditions pay modestly higher premiums and are somewhat less likely to obtain coverage, the variation between premiums and risk in unregulated individual insurance markets is far from proportional; there is considerable pooling. In regulated states, we find that there is no effect of having higher expected expense due to chronic health conditions on neither premiums nor coverage. Overall, our results suggest that the effect of regulation is to produce a slight increase in the proportion uninsured, as increases in low risk uninsureds more than offset decreases in high risk uninsureds. Community rating and guaranteed issue regulations produce only small changes in risk pooling because the extent of pooling in the absence of regulation is substantial.

Suggested Citation

Herring, Bradley and Pauly, Mark V., The Effect of State Community Rating Regulations on Premiums and Coverage in the Individual Health Insurance Market (August 2006). NBER Working Paper No. w12504, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=928067

Bradley Herring

Emory University - Department of Health Policy and Management ( email )

1518 Clifton Road NE
Atlanta, GA 30322
United States

Mark V. Pauly (Contact Author)

University of Pennsylvania - Health Care Systems Department ( email )

3641 Locust Walk
208 Colonial Penn Center
Philadelphia, PA 19104-6358
United States

National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

1050 Massachusetts Avenue
Cambridge, MA 02138
United States

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