Nonlinear PPP Deviations: A Monte Carlo Investigation of Their Unconditional Half-Life
33 Pages Posted: 18 Nov 2006
Date Written: November 9, 2006
Abstract
Recent research has generated support to the notion that the real exchange rate adjustment is nonlinear and that the PPP half-life is faster than the puzzling 3 to 5 years based on linear models. While different nonlinear models survive the specification tests against linear ones, there is little consensus on which specific threshold-type model outperforms the others in the family. In this paper, a Monte Carlo study is designed to address the issue and the findings support that the MR-LSTAR process is the most likely suspect that generates the puzzle.
Keywords: Generalized Impulse Response Functions, Monte Carlo, Nonlinear Autoregressive Model, Purchasing Power Parity, Real Exchange Rates
JEL Classification: C15, C22, F31
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation
Do you have negative results from your research you’d like to share?
Recommended Papers
-
By Charles M. Engel and John H. Rogers
-
Perspectives on PPP and Long-Run Real Exchange Rates
By Kenneth Froot and Kenneth Rogoff
-
A Panel Project on Purchasing Power Parity: Mean Reversion within and between Countries
-
Purchasing Power Parity in the Long Run
By Niso Abuaf and Philippe Jorion
-
Convergence to the Law of One Price Without Trade Barriers or Currency Fluctuations
By David C. Parsley and Shang-jin Wei
-
Explaining the Border Effect: The Role of Exchange Rate Variability, Shipping Costs, and Geography
By David C. Parsley and Shang-jin Wei