Testing for Pro-Poorness of Growth, with an Application to Mexico
CIRPEE Working Paper No. 07-09
32 Pages Posted: 3 Apr 2007 Last revised: 16 Jul 2018
Date Written: March 1, 2007
Abstract
This paper proposes techniques to test for whether growth has been pro-poor. We first review different definitions of pro-poorness and argue for the use of methods that can generate results that are robust over classes of pro-poor measures and ranges of poverty lines. We then provide statistical procedures that rely on the use of sample data to infer whether growth has been pro-poor in a population. We apply these procedures to Mexican household surveys for the years of 1992, 1998 and 2004. We find strong statistical evidence that Mexican growth has been absolutely anti-poor between 1992 and 1998, absolutely pro-poor between 1998 and 2004 and between 1992 and 2004, and relatively pro-poor between 1992 and 2004 and between 1998 and 2004. The relative assessment of the period between 1992 and 1998 is statistically too weak to lead to a robust evaluation of that period.
Keywords: Pro-poor growth, poverty, inequality
JEL Classification: D63, D64
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation
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